What is the current probability for "Exsted vs Nakashima"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Exsted vs Nakashima": Bryce Nakashima Nakashima 82%, Maxwell Exsted 19% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL02EXSNAK. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Exsted vs Nakashima

·Sports·ends Jul 16, 2026

vol cum

$81.5k

vol 24h

$62.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Bryce Nakashima Nakashima

rank #1

82¢

▲ 82.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$32.8k

vol 24h

$15.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 16, 2026

If Bryce Nakashima Nakashima wins the Exsted vs Nakashima professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 San Diego CA Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026opencloses · Jul 16, 2026

Bryce Nakashima Nakashima · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.