What is the current probability for "Marques vs Dominko"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Marques vs Dominko": Sebastian Dominko 70%, Goncalo Marques 36% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL03MARDOM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Marques vs Dominko

·Sports·ends Jul 17, 2026

vol cum

$13.4k

vol 24h

$12.4k

outcomes

ends

Jul 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Sebastian Dominko

rank #1

70¢

▲ 70.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.6k

vol 24h

$8.5k

spread

0.05

ends

Jul 17, 2026

If Sebastian Dominko wins the Marques vs Dominko professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Figueira da Foz Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026opencloses · Jul 17, 2026

Sebastian Dominko · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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