What is the current probability for "Arseneault vs Willwerth"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arseneault vs Willwerth": Nicolas Arseneault 99%, Benjamin Willwerth 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL07ARSWIL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Arseneault vs Willwerth

·Sports·ends Jul 21, 2026

vol cum

$249.2k

vol 24h

$249.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Nicolas Arseneault

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 72.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$135.2k

vol 24h

$135.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 21, 2026

If Nicolas Arseneault wins the Arseneault vs Willwerth professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Laval Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 7, 2026closedresolved · Jul 7, 2026

Nicolas Arseneault · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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