What is the current probability for "Almeida vs Hayen"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Almeida vs Hayen": Alejandro Hayen 96%, Joaquim Almeida 6% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/22/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL08ALMHAY. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Almeida vs Hayen

·Sports·ends Jul 22, 2026

vol cum

$224.9k

vol 24h

$190k

outcomes

ends

Jul 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Alejandro Hayen

rank #1

96¢

▲ 96.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$122.5k

vol 24h

$96.9k

spread

0.02

ends

Jul 22, 2026

If Alejandro Hayen wins the Almeida vs Hayen professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Rancho Santa Fe CA Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jul 22, 2026

Alejandro Hayen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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