What is the current probability for "Picard vs Aerne"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Picard vs Aerne": Mathys Picard 58%, Laurin Aerne 40% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL14PICAER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Picard vs Aerne

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$82.7k

vol 24h

$64.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mathys Picard

rank #1

58¢

▲ 58.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$24.5k

vol 24h

$15.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If Mathys Picard wins the Picard vs Aerne professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Uriage Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

Mathys Picard · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.