What is the current probability for "Castagnola vs Cherie Ligniere"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Castagnola vs Cherie Ligniere": Luca Castagnola 72%, Edoardo Cherie Ligniere 30% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/29/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL15CASCHE. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Castagnola vs Cherie Ligniere

·Sports·ends Jul 29, 2026

vol cum

$15.8k

vol 24h

$14.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Luca Castagnola

rank #1

72¢

▲ 72.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.2k

vol 24h

$7.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 29, 2026

If Luca Castagnola wins the Castagnola vs Cherie Ligniere professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Nova Gorica Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 29, 2026

Luca Castagnola · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Castagnola vs Cherie Ligniere

·Sports·ends Jul 29, 2026

vol cum

$15.8k

vol 24h

$14.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Luca Castagnola

rank #1

72¢

▲ 72.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.2k

vol 24h

$7.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 29, 2026

If Luca Castagnola wins the Castagnola vs Cherie Ligniere professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Nova Gorica Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 29, 2026

Luca Castagnola · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.