What is the current probability for "Cacao vs Marques"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Cacao vs Marques": Goncalo Marques 65%, Tiago Cacao 34% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/1/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL18CACMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Cacao vs Marques

·Sports·ends Aug 1, 2026

vol cum

$344.5k

vol 24h

$315.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Goncalo Marques

rank #1

65¢

▲ 25.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$180.9k

vol 24h

$165.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 1, 2026

If Goncalo Marques wins the Cacao vs Marques professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Castelo Branco Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 18, 2026opencloses · Aug 1, 2026

Goncalo Marques · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.