What is the current probability for "de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado"?

Current Kalshi odds for "de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado": bautista de la Pena 99%, Joao Ogando Monteiro Machado 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL20DELOGA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado

·Sports·ends Aug 3, 2026

vol cum

$911.6k

vol 24h

$910.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

bautista de la Pena

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$367.1k

vol 24h

$366.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 3, 2026

If bautista de la Pena wins the de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Sao Paulo Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026closedresolved · Jul 20, 2026

bautista de la Pena · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado

·Sports·ends Aug 3, 2026

vol cum

$911.6k

vol 24h

$910.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

bautista de la Pena

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$367.1k

vol 24h

$366.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 3, 2026

If bautista de la Pena wins the de la Pena vs Ogando Monteiro Machado professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Sao Paulo Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026closedresolved · Jul 20, 2026

bautista de la Pena · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.