What is the current probability for "Montero Nicolau vs Ferrer Mateo"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Montero Nicolau vs Ferrer Mateo": Xavier Ferrer Mateo 82%, Pedro Montero Nicolau 15% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL21MONFER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Montero Nicolau vs Ferrer Mateo

·Sports·ends Aug 4, 2026

vol cum

$16.1k

vol 24h

$15.3k

outcomes

ends

Aug 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Xavier Ferrer Mateo

rank #1

82¢

▲ 82.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.3k

vol 24h

$8.9k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 4, 2026

If Xavier Ferrer Mateo wins the Montero Nicolau vs Ferrer Mateo professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Denia Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Aug 4, 2026

Xavier Ferrer Mateo · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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