What is the current probability for "Nakamura vs Saitoh"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nakamura vs Saitoh": Keisuke Saitoh 93%, Ren Nakamura 8% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL21NAKSAI. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nakamura vs Saitoh

·Sports·ends Aug 5, 2026

vol cum

$30.7k

vol 24h

$30.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Keisuke Saitoh

rank #1

93¢

▲ 5.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$91

vol 24h

$85

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 5, 2026

If Keisuke Saitoh wins the Nakamura vs Saitoh professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Bali Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Aug 5, 2026

Keisuke Saitoh · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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