What is the current probability for "Ferguson vs Pham"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ferguson vs Pham": Chase Ferguson 75%, Derek Pham 24% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/6/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL22FERPHA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ferguson vs Pham

·Sports·ends Aug 6, 2026

vol cum

$494.2k

vol 24h

$465.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chase Ferguson

rank #1

75¢

▲ 75.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$206.7k

vol 24h

$194.1k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 6, 2026

If Chase Ferguson wins the Ferguson vs Pham professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Brisbane Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026opencloses · Aug 6, 2026

Chase Ferguson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ferguson vs Pham

·Sports·ends Aug 6, 2026

vol cum

$494.2k

vol 24h

$465.5k

outcomes

ends

Aug 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chase Ferguson

rank #1

75¢

▲ 75.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$206.7k

vol 24h

$194.1k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 6, 2026

If Chase Ferguson wins the Ferguson vs Pham professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Brisbane Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026opencloses · Aug 6, 2026

Chase Ferguson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.