What is the current probability for "Soto vs Tumasonis"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Soto vs Tumasonis": Matias Soto 98%, Gabriel Pascotto Tumasonis 2% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL22SOTTUM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Soto vs Tumasonis

·Sports·ends Aug 5, 2026

vol cum

$41.2k

vol 24h

$41.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Matias Soto

rank #1 · resolved: yes

98¢

▲ 3.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$15.7k

vol 24h

$15.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 5, 2026

If Matias Soto wins the Soto vs Tumasonis professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Sao Paulo Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026closedresolved · Jul 22, 2026

Matias Soto · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.