What is the current probability for "Ferguson vs Markovina"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ferguson vs Markovina": Duje Markovina 55%, Chase Ferguson 48% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL23FERMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Ferguson vs Markovina

·Sports·ends Aug 7, 2026

vol cum

$401.9k

vol 24h

$125.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Duje Markovina

rank #1

55¢

▲ 55.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$146.6k

vol 24h

$44k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 7, 2026

If Duje Markovina wins the Ferguson vs Markovina professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Brisbane Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 23, 2026opencloses · Aug 7, 2026

Duje Markovina · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.