What is the current probability for "Tanaka vs Yamamoto"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Tanaka vs Yamamoto": Yu Tanaka 99%, Natsuki Yamamoto 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/10/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL27TANYAM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Tanaka vs Yamamoto

·Sports·ends Aug 10, 2026

vol cum

$1.1M

vol 24h

$1.1M

outcomes

ends

Aug 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Yu Tanaka

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$332.7k

vol 24h

$332.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 10, 2026

If Yu Tanaka wins the Tanaka vs Yamamoto professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Astana Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 26, 2026closedresolved · Jul 27, 2026

Yu Tanaka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.