What is the current probability for "Ferrer Mateo vs Arce Fernandez"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ferrer Mateo vs Arce Fernandez": Mario Arce Fernandez 75%, Xavier Ferrer Mateo 29% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL28FERARC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ferrer Mateo vs Arce Fernandez

·Sports·ends Aug 11, 2026

vol cum

$181.2k

vol 24h

$91.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mario Arce Fernandez

rank #1

75¢

▲ 75.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$24.3k

vol 24h

$8.6k

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 11, 2026

If Mario Arce Fernandez wins the Ferrer Mateo vs Arce Fernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Xativa Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 27, 2026opencloses · Aug 11, 2026

Mario Arce Fernandez · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.