What is the current probability for "Lapalu vs Nordquist"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Lapalu vs Nordquist": Arvid Nordquist 60%, Valentin Lapalu 37% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL29LAPNOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Lapalu vs Nordquist

·Sports·ends Aug 12, 2026

vol cum

$11k

vol 24h

$10.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arvid Nordquist

rank #1

60¢

▲ 60.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.3k

vol 24h

$6.3k

spread

0.06

ends

Aug 12, 2026

If Arvid Nordquist wins the Lapalu vs Nordquist professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Dublin Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 29, 2026opencloses · Aug 12, 2026

Arvid Nordquist · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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