What is the current probability for "Serafini vs Gschiel"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Serafini vs Gschiel": Marcello Serafini 57%, Alexander Gschiel 44% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/12/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL29SERGSC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Serafini vs Gschiel

·Sports·ends Aug 12, 2026

vol cum

$76.8k

vol 24h

$70.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Marcello Serafini

rank #1

57¢

▲ 34.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$44k

vol 24h

$40.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 12, 2026

If Marcello Serafini wins the Serafini vs Gschiel professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Wels Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 29, 2026opencloses · Aug 12, 2026

Marcello Serafini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.