What is the current probability for "Marionneau vs Lapalu"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Marionneau vs Lapalu": Lucas Marionneau 99%, Valentin Lapalu 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUL30MARLAP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Marionneau vs Lapalu

·Sports·ends Aug 13, 2026

vol cum

$48k

vol 24h

$48k

outcomes

ends

Aug 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lucas Marionneau

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$22k

vol 24h

$22k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 13, 2026

If Lucas Marionneau wins the Marionneau vs Lapalu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Dublin Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026closedresolved · Jul 30, 2026

Lucas Marionneau · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Marionneau vs Lapalu

·Sports·ends Aug 13, 2026

vol cum

$48k

vol 24h

$48k

outcomes

ends

Aug 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lucas Marionneau

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$22k

vol 24h

$22k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 13, 2026

If Lucas Marionneau wins the Marionneau vs Lapalu professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Dublin Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 30, 2026closedresolved · Jul 30, 2026

Lucas Marionneau · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.