What is the current probability for "Ferguson vs Yamanaka"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ferguson vs Yamanaka": Chase Ferguson 99%, Taiyo Yamanaka 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/8/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUN23FERYAM. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Ferguson vs Yamanaka

·Sports·ends Jul 8, 2026

vol cum

$2.5M

vol 24h

$2.2M

outcomes

ends

Jul 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chase Ferguson

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.2M

vol 24h

$989.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 8, 2026

If Chase Ferguson wins the Ferguson vs Yamanaka professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Wuning Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 23, 2026opencloses · Jul 8, 2026

Chase Ferguson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.