What is the current probability for "De Marchi vs Geschwind"?

Current Kalshi odds for "De Marchi vs Geschwind": Francisco Tomas Geschwind 71%, Andrea De Marchi 30% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26JUN25DEMGES. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

De Marchi vs Geschwind

·Sports·ends Jul 9, 2026

vol cum

$36.1k

vol 24h

$28.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Francisco Tomas Geschwind

rank #1

71¢

▲ 71.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$29.1k

vol 24h

$22k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 9, 2026

If Francisco Tomas Geschwind wins the De Marchi vs Geschwind professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Kursumlijska Banja Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Jul 9, 2026

Francisco Tomas Geschwind · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.