What is the current probability for "Matsuda vs Ogura"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Matsuda vs Ogura": Ryuki Matsuda 73%, Kosuke Ogura 31% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26OCT01MATOGU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Matsuda vs Ogura

·Sports·ends Oct 16, 2026

vol cum

$96.1k

vol 24h

$71.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ryuki Matsuda

rank #1

73¢

▲ 73.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$59k

vol 24h

$44.8k

spread

0.05

ends

Oct 16, 2026

If Ryuki Matsuda wins the Matsuda vs Ogura professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Luan Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 16, 2026

Ryuki Matsuda · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.