What is the current probability for "Jones vs Pham"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Jones vs Pham": Hayden Jones 99%, Derek Pham 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26OCT03JONPHA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Jones vs Pham

·Sports·ends Oct 17, 2026

vol cum

$108.9k

vol 24h

$97.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hayden Jones

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$62k

vol 24h

$56.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 17, 2026

If Hayden Jones wins the Jones vs Pham professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Darwin Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 17, 2026

Hayden Jones · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.