What is the current probability for "Arcon vs Connaughton"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arcon vs Connaughton": Luca Connaughton 99%, Adrian Arcon 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26OCT06ARCCON. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Arcon vs Connaughton

·Sports·ends Oct 20, 2026

vol cum

$65.3k

vol 24h

$65.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Luca Connaughton

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$39.4k

vol 24h

$39.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 20, 2026

If Luca Connaughton wins the Arcon vs Connaughton professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Darwin Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 5, 2026closedresolved · Oct 6, 2026

Luca Connaughton · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.