What is the current probability for "Zgraggen vs Manuel"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Zgraggen vs Manuel": Leandro Zgraggen 61%, Josh Manuel 36% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26OCT06ZGRMAN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Zgraggen vs Manuel

·Sports·ends Oct 20, 2026

vol cum

$27.9k

vol 24h

$27.4k

outcomes

ends

Oct 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Leandro Zgraggen

rank #1

61¢

▲ 61.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$11k

vol 24h

$10.6k

spread

0.15

ends

Oct 20, 2026

If Leandro Zgraggen wins the Zgraggen vs Manuel professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Monastir Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 5, 2026opencloses · Oct 20, 2026

Leandro Zgraggen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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