What is the current probability for "Arce Fernandez vs Alcaraz Galbis"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arce Fernandez vs Alcaraz Galbis": Mario Arce Fernandez 99%, Vicente Alcaraz Galbis 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 15, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP01ARCALC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Arce Fernandez vs Alcaraz Galbis

·Sports·ends Sep 15, 2026

vol cum

$11.5k

vol 24h

$11.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mario Arce Fernandez

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.4k

vol 24h

$8.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 15, 2026

If Mario Arce Fernandez wins the Arce Fernandez vs Alcaraz Galbis professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Madrid Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 31, 2026closedresolved · Sep 1, 2026

Mario Arce Fernandez · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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