What is the current probability for "Nakagawa vs Taka"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nakagawa vs Taka": Naoki Nakagawa 99%, Yua Taka 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP01NAKTAK. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nakagawa vs Taka

·Sports·ends Sep 16, 2026

vol cum

$40.6k

vol 24h

$40.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Naoki Nakagawa

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$18.8k

vol 24h

$18.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 16, 2026

If Naoki Nakagawa wins the Nakagawa vs Taka professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Urayasu Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026closedresolved · Sep 16, 2026

Naoki Nakagawa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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