What is the current probability for "Baumgartner vs Schell"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Baumgartner vs Schell": Niklas Schell 82%, Sam Kydd Baumgartner 30% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP02BAUSCH. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Baumgartner vs Schell

·Sports·ends Sep 16, 2026

vol cum

$25k

vol 24h

$18.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Niklas Schell

rank #1

82¢

▲ 82.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$16.2k

vol 24h

$11.8k

spread

0.10

ends

Sep 16, 2026

If Niklas Schell wins the Baumgartner vs Schell professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Casablanca Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Sep 16, 2026

Niklas Schell · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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