What is the current probability for "Serafini vs Oradini"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Serafini vs Oradini": Marcello Serafini 99%, Giovanni Oradini 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP02SERORA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Serafini vs Oradini

·Sports·ends Sep 16, 2026

vol cum

$51.5k

vol 24h

$51.5k

outcomes

ends

Sep 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Marcello Serafini

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$27.1k

vol 24h

$27.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 16, 2026

If Marcello Serafini wins the Serafini vs Oradini professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Bologna Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 2, 2026closedresolved · Sep 2, 2026

Marcello Serafini · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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