What is the current probability for "Baker vs Plunger"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Baker vs Plunger": Manuel Plunger 67%, Blu Baker 33% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP03BAKPLU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Baker vs Plunger

·Sports·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$100k

vol 24h

$91.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Manuel Plunger

rank #1

67¢

▲ 67.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$44.9k

vol 24h

$43.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 17, 2026

If Manuel Plunger wins the Baker vs Plunger professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Bologna Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 3, 2026opencloses · Sep 17, 2026

Manuel Plunger · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.