What is the current probability for "Nijboer vs Alvarez Sarmiento"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nijboer vs Alvarez Sarmiento": Ryan Nijboer 99%, Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP03NIJALV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nijboer vs Alvarez Sarmiento

·Sports·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$72.2k

vol 24h

$72.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ryan Nijboer

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$27.4k

vol 24h

$27.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 17, 2026

If Ryan Nijboer wins the Nijboer vs Alvarez Sarmiento professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Madrid Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 2, 2026closedresolved · Sep 3, 2026

Ryan Nijboer · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.