What is the current probability for "Paolini vs De Giorgio"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Paolini vs De Giorgio": Pasquale De Giorgio 99%, Andrea Paolini 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 21, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP07PAODEG. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Paolini vs De Giorgio

·Sports·ends Sep 21, 2026

vol cum

$29.6k

vol 24h

$29.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pasquale De Giorgio

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$17.2k

vol 24h

$17.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 21, 2026

If Pasquale De Giorgio wins the Paolini vs De Giorgio professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Pozzuoli Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 6, 2026closedresolved · Sep 7, 2026

Pasquale De Giorgio · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.