What is the current probability for "Vavassori vs Tiurnev"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Vavassori vs Tiurnev": Matteo Vavassori 99%, Evgenii Tiurnev 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 23, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP09VAVTIU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Vavassori vs Tiurnev

·Sports·ends Sep 23, 2026

vol cum

$1.2M

vol 24h

$1.2M

outcomes

ends

Sep 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Matteo Vavassori

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$708.6k

vol 24h

$708.6k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 23, 2026

If Matteo Vavassori wins the Vavassori vs Tiurnev professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Tsaghkadzor Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026closedresolved · Sep 9, 2026

Matteo Vavassori · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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