What is the current probability for "Valkusz vs Fernandez"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Valkusz vs Fernandez": Mate Valkusz 77%, Bruno Fernandez 25% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 25, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP11VALFER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Valkusz vs Fernandez

·Sports·ends Sep 25, 2026

vol cum

$26.1k

vol 24h

$26.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 25, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mate Valkusz

rank #1

77¢

▲ 77.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$14.1k

vol 24h

$14.1k

spread

0.07

ends

Sep 25, 2026

If Mate Valkusz wins the Valkusz vs Fernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Budapest Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 10, 2026opencloses · Sep 25, 2026

Mate Valkusz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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