What is the current probability for "Ciavarella vs Noce"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ciavarella vs Noce": Niccolo Ciavarella 77%, Gabriele Maria Noce 24% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 29, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP15CIANOC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Ciavarella vs Noce

·Sports·ends Sep 29, 2026

vol cum

$28.5k

vol 24h

$21.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 29, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Niccolo Ciavarella

rank #1

77¢

▲ 77.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.6k

vol 24h

$8.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 29, 2026

If Niccolo Ciavarella wins the Ciavarella vs Noce professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 14, 2026opencloses · Sep 29, 2026

Niccolo Ciavarella · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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