What is the current probability for "Zhang vs Ferguson"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Zhang vs Ferguson": Chase Ferguson 97%, Minghui Zhang 4% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 30, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP15ZHAFER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Zhang vs Ferguson

·Sports·ends Sep 30, 2026

vol cum

$80.1k

vol 24h

$71.8k

outcomes

ends

Sep 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Chase Ferguson

rank #1

97¢

▲ 97.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$37.5k

vol 24h

$36.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 30, 2026

If Chase Ferguson wins the Zhang vs Ferguson professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Guiyang Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026opencloses · Sep 30, 2026

Chase Ferguson · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.