What is the current probability for "Kachmazov vs Sun"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Kachmazov vs Sun": Alibek Kachmazov 99%, Qian Sun 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP16KACSUN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Kachmazov vs Sun

·Sports·ends Oct 1, 2026

vol cum

$267.1k

vol 24h

$267.1k

outcomes

ends

Oct 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Alibek Kachmazov

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$115.4k

vol 24h

$115.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 1, 2026

If Alibek Kachmazov wins the Kachmazov vs Sun professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Guiyang Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 16, 2026closedresolved · Sep 17, 2026

Alibek Kachmazov · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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