What is the current probability for "Baker vs Valdoleiros"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Baker vs Valdoleiros": Blu Baker 55%, Guilherme Valdoleiros 47% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP21BAKVAL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Baker vs Valdoleiros

·Sports·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$282.9k

vol 24h

$251.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Blu Baker

rank #1

55¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$82.3k

vol 24h

$74.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If Blu Baker wins the Baker vs Valdoleiros professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Setubal Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

Blu Baker · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.