What is the current probability for "Thurner vs Walch"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Thurner vs Walch": Noah Thurner 99%, Antoine Walch 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP21THUWAL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Thurner vs Walch

·Sports·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$29.9k

vol 24h

$13.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Noah Thurner

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$18.8k

vol 24h

$8.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If Noah Thurner wins the Thurner vs Walch professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Forbach Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 20, 2026closedresolved · Sep 21, 2026

Noah Thurner · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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