What is the current probability for "Misasi vs Ferrari"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Misasi vs Ferrari": Gianmarco Ferrari 86%, Giannicola Misasi 14% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP22MISFER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Misasi vs Ferrari

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$65.1k

vol 24h

$62.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Gianmarco Ferrari

rank #1

86¢

▲ 86.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$31.7k

vol 24h

$30.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Gianmarco Ferrari wins the Misasi vs Ferrari professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

Gianmarco Ferrari · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.