What is the current probability for "Vasa vs Kivanda"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Vasa vs Kivanda": Eero Vasa 91%, Sizya Ernest Kivanda 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP22VASKIV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Vasa vs Kivanda

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$26.6k

vol 24h

$26.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Eero Vasa

rank #1

91¢

▼ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.7k

vol 24h

$6.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Eero Vasa wins the Vasa vs Kivanda professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Falun Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026opencloses · Oct 6, 2026

Eero Vasa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.