What is the current probability for "Vanshelboim vs Marino"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Vanshelboim vs Marino": Eric Vanshelboim 94%, Pietro Marino 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 7, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP23VANMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Vanshelboim vs Marino

·Sports·ends Oct 7, 2026

vol cum

$95.9k

vol 24h

$79k

outcomes

ends

Oct 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Eric Vanshelboim

rank #1

94¢

▲ 94.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$45.1k

vol 24h

$36.4k

spread

0.04

ends

Oct 7, 2026

If Eric Vanshelboim wins the Vanshelboim vs Marino professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 22, 2026opencloses · Oct 7, 2026

Eric Vanshelboim · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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