What is the current probability for "Vasa vs Marek"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Vasa vs Marek": Eero Vasa 95%, Wojciech Marek 6% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP24VASMAR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Vasa vs Marek

·Sports·ends Oct 8, 2026

vol cum

$89k

vol 24h

$71.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Eero Vasa

rank #1

95¢

▲ 95.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$39.6k

vol 24h

$31.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 8, 2026

If Eero Vasa wins the Vasa vs Marek professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Falun Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 23, 2026opencloses · Oct 8, 2026

Eero Vasa · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.