What is the current probability for "Marmousez vs Talan Lopatic"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Marmousez vs Talan Lopatic": Lilian Marmousez 99%, Luka Talan Lopatic 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 9, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP25MARTAL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Marmousez vs Talan Lopatic

·Sports·ends Oct 9, 2026

vol cum

$71.5k

vol 24h

$71.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Lilian Marmousez

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$10.1k

vol 24h

$10.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 9, 2026

If Lilian Marmousez wins the Marmousez vs Talan Lopatic professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Sabadell Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 24, 2026closedresolved · Sep 25, 2026

Lilian Marmousez · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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