What is the current probability for "Michalski vs Vanshelboim"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Michalski vs Vanshelboim": Daniel Michalski 99%, Eric Vanshelboim 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 9, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP25MICVAN. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Michalski vs Vanshelboim

·Sports·ends Oct 9, 2026

vol cum

$161.3k

vol 24h

$147.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniel Michalski

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$57.6k

vol 24h

$54.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 9, 2026

If Daniel Michalski wins the Michalski vs Vanshelboim professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 25, 2026closedresolved · Sep 25, 2026

Daniel Michalski · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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