What is the current probability for "Dolzhenkov vs Nordquist"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Dolzhenkov vs Nordquist": Arvid Nordquist 90%, Dmitry Dolzhenkov 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 10, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP26DOLNOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Dolzhenkov vs Nordquist

·Sports·ends Oct 10, 2026

vol cum

$15.5k

vol 24h

$15.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arvid Nordquist

rank #1

90¢

▲ 4.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$82

vol 24h

$75

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 10, 2026

If Arvid Nordquist wins the Dolzhenkov vs Nordquist professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Baku Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 25, 2026opencloses · Oct 10, 2026

Arvid Nordquist · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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