What is the current probability for "Madaras vs Mecarelli"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Madaras vs Mecarelli": Michele Mecarelli 99%, Dragos Nicolae Madaras 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 10, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP26MADMEC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Madaras vs Mecarelli

·Sports·ends Oct 10, 2026

vol cum

$407.4k

vol 24h

$273.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Michele Mecarelli

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$235.7k

vol 24h

$156.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 10, 2026

If Michele Mecarelli wins the Madaras vs Mecarelli professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Telavi Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 25, 2026closedresolved · Sep 26, 2026

Michele Mecarelli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.