What is the current probability for "Nagel vs Thomas"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Nagel vs Thomas": Flynn Thomas 99%, Arthur Nagel 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 10, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP26NAGTHO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Nagel vs Thomas

·Sports·ends Oct 10, 2026

vol cum

$1M

vol 24h

$1M

outcomes

ends

Oct 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Flynn Thomas

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$684.9k

vol 24h

$684.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 10, 2026

If Flynn Thomas wins the Nagel vs Thomas professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Forbach Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 25, 2026closedresolved · Sep 26, 2026

Flynn Thomas · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.