What is the current probability for "Alves vs Sakamoto"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Alves vs Sakamoto": Mateus Alves 92%, Pedro Sakamoto 8% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 11, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP27ALVSAK. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Alves vs Sakamoto

·Sports·ends Oct 11, 2026

vol cum

$154.9k

vol 24h

$128.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mateus Alves

rank #1

92¢

▲ 88.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$57k

vol 24h

$45.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 11, 2026

If Mateus Alves wins the Alves vs Sakamoto professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Curitiba Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 26, 2026opencloses · Oct 11, 2026

Mateus Alves · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.