What is the current probability for "Falck vs Connaughton"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Falck vs Connaughton": Reece Falck 99%, Luca Connaughton 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFMATCH-26SEP29FALCON. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Falck vs Connaughton

·Sports·ends Oct 13, 2026

vol cum

$10.4k

vol 24h

$10.4k

outcomes

ends

Oct 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Reece Falck

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$5.7k

vol 24h

$5.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 13, 2026

If Reece Falck wins the Falck vs Connaughton professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Darwin Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 28, 2026closedresolved · Sep 29, 2026

Reece Falck · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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