What is the current probability for "Toma vs Lopez Alcaraz"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Toma vs Lopez Alcaraz": Maria Toma 66%, Esther Lopez Alcaraz 36% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXITFWMATCH-26AUG03TOMLOP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Toma vs Lopez Alcaraz

·Sports·ends Aug 17, 2026

vol cum

$21.2k

vol 24h

$19.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maria Toma

rank #1

66¢

▲ 71.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.6k

vol 24h

$12.5k

spread

0.06

ends

Aug 17, 2026

If Maria Toma wins the Toma vs Lopez Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Ourense Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 2, 2026opencloses · Aug 17, 2026

Maria Toma · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Toma vs Lopez Alcaraz

·Sports·ends Aug 17, 2026

vol cum

$21.2k

vol 24h

$19.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maria Toma

rank #1

66¢

▲ 71.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.6k

vol 24h

$12.5k

spread

0.06

ends

Aug 17, 2026

If Maria Toma wins the Toma vs Lopez Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Ourense Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 2, 2026opencloses · Aug 17, 2026

Maria Toma · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.